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To Jaladhi - Full Agreement - Why we can never allow for the Iranian Nuke

Reader comment on item: Islamist Turkey vs. Secular Iran?
in response to reader comment: Could Turkey be converging towards Iran's theocracy???

Submitted by Michel C. Zala (Switzerland), Dec 15, 2010 at 13:45

I hope you did not misunderstand me, as I myself see absolutely no chance for any secularism in Iran. Quite actually, I see no chance for any revolt in the foreseable future, as you rightfully pointed out, that the recent protests were very prematurely been celebrated in the West as "movement" or precourse of a wide-spread rebellion.

I believe that this regime is thus entrenched, that it will take a grave mistake, such as an attack on Israel (directly or by proxy), to cause an outright declaration of war by western nations on the Iranians with a subsequent invasion and forceful replacement of the theocracy.

As opposed to North Korea or Cuba, where I consider the implosion of the regime as imminent, Iran will remain for decades to come the focal point of Islamism, terror and unrest. I also believe that within the next 18 to 24 months Iran will go on record having nuclear weaponry, thus destabilize the entire region, causing another economy drop due to oil supply insecurities and possibly force Israel to a pre-emptive strike, upon which the entire world economy will collapse. All that without the need for one single shot.

Since Israel for sheer self preservation reasons can not wait for a tactical nuke to be delivered via any Iranian proxy, such as suicidal islamists of the likes of Hamas or Hezbollah, a distinct possibility after all, considering the Chartas of these orgs, fully denying ISR any right of existence, the simple appearance of the Iranian bomb will thus have a devastating (domino) effect way beyond the confines of the middle east.

The Chamberlains of the West (and East) fail to understand this threat and its vicious deadly mechanism, as many argue that Iran should have a right to peaceful nuclear power (neglecting the fact, why this country with all its oil would ever have to prioritize on it, while its roads and cities are in a state of a third world nation). They fail to appreciate that ISR must consider the simple declaration of the Iranian bomb as an outright declaration of war.

This bomb would not need to be used to become the immediate cause for military conflict. Since ISR does not have the conventional means to destroy over 50 nuclear (research and production) facilities, well hidden, shielded and oftentimes underground, all that beyond reach of strategic fighter airplanes, since ISr does not have a credible capacity to respond, due to lack of straegic depth and a fleet of nuclear submarines equipped with nuclear ballistic or cruise missiles, there is no credible policy of deterrence. They simply would never survive a nuclear attack and thus can not afford to be passive.

Needless to say, that the Iranian constitution, the rethoric out of Tehran, the speeches of Achmadinejaad, the published chartas of Hezbollah and Hamas, admitted Iran proxies, supported, armed and indoctrinated by the Mullahs speak clearly and openly of the needed eradication and extinction of ISR. Who can blame the Israeli for a level of paranoia, arguing that, if Islamists are willing to blow themselves up with a bomb on a market place, they certainly would never hesitate to do the same with a tactical nuke.

For aforementioned reasons, it seems to be mission-critical to prevent Iran by all means necessary up to and not limited to warfare, from getting the Nuke. I highly doubt the will in the west to demonstrate the necessary strength, which is why those 2012 doomsday scenarios ironically gain actual merit. It may be coincidental, but a catastrophy is in motion already, a mechanism of events initiated by this irrational regime, forcing the hands of a threatened nuclear power.

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