Insurgencies are the Precursors - It Takes World Power to Dominate the World
Reader comment on item: Must Counterinsurgency Wars Fail?

Submitted by M. Tovey (United States), Sep 23, 2008 at 16:48

Now that the apparitions of insurgencies have been discussed at some length, let us move from the response of such rebellion to the normal affairs of the world, not from the quasi- or para-national entities such as Hamas or Hizbollah, but of national interests springing forth under the colors of a resurging hatred for the United States by socialist politicians, who see a possible waning of American influences in this post September 11, 2001 era. Leading the new breach to the world scheme of things under the auspices of a modified old arrangement is the Russian dominated Commonwealth of Independent States, a paradox of political appellations, if any there was.

Many have lately tried to bring attention to this resurgence of cold war antipathies; but be aware, these are not your old style Soviets, albeit, they do carry remnant mindsets of global domination. It is no coincidence that the Russian spearhead into the Caribbean is led by the ‘Pyotr Velikiy' – ‘Peter the Great', the Tsarist Russian who gave his country imperialist dreams. It is in that spirit that we see the ghosts of former Soviet Empire rise up out of the ashes like a two-headed Phoenix, symbolically apropos.

Further, by linking up with Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Bolivia and others, their influences are not to be taken lightly. Couple that with the ties to the insurgents of the Middle East and Africa being led by Iran, and the west finds itself in the crosshairs of a supposed new destiny, where peace, once though possible by bartering the existence of Israel in the Road Map to Peace, is now going beyond that possibility. The inevitability of this new phase of Middle East history going up in conflict, connected to the unrest of other places around the world previously thought insulated, making for a sense of anxiety that exceeds the build-ups of the former and latter world wars many times over.

If the world found itself trying desperately to undergird a counterinsurgency effort limited to the Middle East and had a hard time doing so, then this latest build-up of superpower antipathy should have the nations trembling, for they are at the very brink of their greatest fears, the cataclysmic event of World War Three, which is already in its initial stages. The attempts to pacify the malcontent in a number of locations are falling by the way side as the insurgencies counter the counterinsurgency activities. Iraq, the central focus of the United States along with Afghanistan, has gone on long enough that the perception is that the United States will not pose enough of a deterrent to prevent an outright attack on any other key location in the world.

Barring diversions prepared to attract attention away from the real goal of dominating the Middle East, the next place ready, now, to explode from the embers of its last inflammation is Lebanon, the springboard in many combatants' eyes to defeating Israel. Syria has already begun build-up on the borders, with a keen eye on the Golan. Their alliance with Russia and defiance to any suggestion of breaking ties with Iran, who will be linking up with Iraq (who by the way, proposes to execute death sentences of members of parliament who dared go to Israel), sends a very clear message, just as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was allowed to do in New York. Hitler raged from the Reichstag; Ahmadinejad was given a more convenient podium. The Russians wait patiently.

Counterinsurgency efforts are necessary to keep wary of even the most remote activities of terrorists and their sponsor nations from gaining any ground, but these activities cannot be allowed to obscure the reality. This world finds itself in its next phase of history, and how it will be written will be dependent on who is victor. While those of faith have an answer in the by believing Hebrew Holy Scriptures, the rest of humanity will find the circumstances of the immediate future and the ensuing war very much beyond belief.

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