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Pipes is completely wrong

Reader comment on item: Muslim Europe

Submitted by Randy McDonald (Canada), May 11, 2004 at 11:13

http://www.livejournal.com/users/rfmcdpei/408410.html

The above URL connects to an article that I wrote a month ago, examining demographic trends among European Muslims--more specifically French Muslims--with the goal of finding out what was going on.

My conclusion? Between a declining birth rate, rampant and growing assimilation, the enfranchisement of women, and growing intermarriage, the French Muslim community isn't going to take over France. The population of Muslim origin will grow somewhat, but this growth will be limited and accompanied by more complete assimilation. There's no more need to fear a demographic conquest of France now by Muslims than there was to fear a demographic conquest of New York City by Jews a century ago.

Moreover, I disagree with his conclusion :

Some 5% of the E.U., or nearly 20 million persons, presently identify themselves as Muslims; should current trends continue, that number will reach 10% by 2020. If non-Muslims flee the new Islamic order, as seems likely, the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades.

10% of the population constitutes a "new Islamic order"?
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