Reader comment on item: What Is the Future of Conservatism in the Wake of the 2012 Election?
Submitted by Straight_Talk_Luigi (United States), Jan 5, 2013 at 12:38
With Romney and Ryan, they went after the north white vote west of the Dakotas. It wasn't a bad strategy, considering Romney's ties to MI and Ryan's ties to WI.
What won the election for the democrats were two things:
1) Field organization. In 2008, McCain fumbled by saying he "didn't know how to use a computer" whereas Obama supporters were dedicating their facebook statuses to him. In 2012, the GOP's ORCA system crashed.
2) This is perhaps the most important: In an election cycle that was shaping up to be Reagen vs Carter, Plouffe, Axelrod and yes Bernake did a great job of artificially inflating the economy just enough to get young voters, Blacks and democrat Hispanics out.
3) To quote former Clinton pollster Dick Morris: Hurricane Sandy was the October surprise. Prior to that mess. Rasmussen tracking had Romney up by 6 in swing states, including PA and MI in the average.
If we had 20% interest rates and high inflation, those folks stay at home and a lot of whites in the north vote GOP.
The GOP also needs to understand:
1) Hispanics may not put immigration at the top of the list, but it is still important to them
2) The democrats do not have a magical demographic majority. Gary Johnson and Virgil Goode got decent amounts of conservative voters and 3 million republicans sat this one out.
Get even 1/6 of them out in swing states, and Romney wins.
3) This is not just about Santa Claus. This is about the republicans failing to get out there message. Santa Claus = Obama is true for some people, but not for middle class families in the burbs who go from 150 K a year to food stamps and unemployment.
Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".
Reader comments (46) on this item
Comment on this item
Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum. Daniel J. Pipes