Reader comment on item: What Is the Future of Conservatism in the Wake of the 2012 Election?
Submitted by Straight_Talk_Luigi (United States), Jan 5, 2013 at 12:38
With Romney and Ryan, they went after the north white vote west of the Dakotas. It wasn't a bad strategy, considering Romney's ties to MI and Ryan's ties to WI.
What won the election for the democrats were two things:
1) Field organization. In 2008, McCain fumbled by saying he "didn't know how to use a computer" whereas Obama supporters were dedicating their facebook statuses to him. In 2012, the GOP's ORCA system crashed.
2) This is perhaps the most important: In an election cycle that was shaping up to be Reagen vs Carter, Plouffe, Axelrod and yes Bernake did a great job of artificially inflating the economy just enough to get young voters, Blacks and democrat Hispanics out.
3) To quote former Clinton pollster Dick Morris: Hurricane Sandy was the October surprise. Prior to that mess. Rasmussen tracking had Romney up by 6 in swing states, including PA and MI in the average.
If we had 20% interest rates and high inflation, those folks stay at home and a lot of whites in the north vote GOP.
The GOP also needs to understand:
1) Hispanics may not put immigration at the top of the list, but it is still important to them
2) The democrats do not have a magical demographic majority. Gary Johnson and Virgil Goode got decent amounts of conservative voters and 3 million republicans sat this one out.
Get even 1/6 of them out in swing states, and Romney wins.
3) This is not just about Santa Claus. This is about the republicans failing to get out there message. Santa Claus = Obama is true for some people, but not for middle class families in the burbs who go from 150 K a year to food stamps and unemployment.
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