Cordesman is flawed
Reader comment on item: The Unthinkable Consequences of an Iran-Israel Nuclear Exchange

Submitted by Lame Cherry (United States), Jun 16, 2008 at 14:40

Tony Cordesman, except for being mildly correct on Tehran being a reflective killing zone (He does not take into account that Iran has more concrete and mud buildings which collapse in earthquakes, but might sustain nuclear winds better than Japanese rice paper and the well known American wooden structure tests, so immediate casualties might be lower but radioactive near term casualties would equal the numbers.), he is completely incorrect on Tehran's current nuclear stocks numbering in approximately one dozen SS MERV to low yield weapons purchased from the defunct Soviet Union.

Cordesman also neglects the Khan plans which Iran has and which Iran does indeed have a floating "nuclear metal stock" which came from either the Soviets, North Koreans or Chicoms where they were interested in moulding this metal into small stage nuclear warheads.

Cordesman neglects the fact that Patriot batteries do indeed knock down nuclear missiles, but that same warhead is still set to detonate at 100 meters approximately above surface which means he has not taken into account the Syrians, neo Syrians, Jordanians or perhaps Iraqis who will die when those nuclear missiles go off, kick up tons of sand into the atmosphere and in prevailing winds spread clouds of death to India. Those numbers in hot zone rain fallout could number into millions.

Cordesman also neglects the campaign last year in which Russia under Putin and Iran fed Assad of Syria false intelligence trying to sucker him into attacking the Israeli state with Saddam's chemical and biological weapons which would mean Damascus would have been vaporized.

Syria will be hit as will southern Lebanon in any WMD exchange coming out of the Israeli state as there is no way the IDF is going to allow a terrorist army and a Syrian military to swoop in as Jews pick through the rubble and require the necessary 2 weeks to "cool down" so evacuations can occur.
Those numbers can easily add 1 million dead terrorists and Syrians.

The reality is Iran has several bombs. That is why America has not struck. America though must strike before Iran sets up a nuclear front against the United States via FARC , Chavez and Cuba.

Most Israeli cities are concrete structure or mud of good composition. Their cities by tradition are upon tel's or har's, hills and mountains with broad flat valleys composing the remainder. Nuclear bombs do not operate well in those theaters as heat rises and on a mount the outlying areas would be untouched and in valleys, Iran would be sucking on it's own spent warheads as the winds would sweep up the mountains contaminated dust and carry it all back to Muslim states.

It is possible to contaminate the Israeli state as it is so small, but it is not possible to destroy it without a saturation of thermonuclear bombs in an almost section grid as the mountains and terrain form natural buffers.

As for Iran or Persia, the Jews would only be required to wipe out the Qud forces, the Supreme Council, Tehran while leaving the Kurds of the north and the ethnic minorities in the oil regions of the south to self rule. These peoples would welcome an end to Persian domination as they starve, are beaten and have their resources taken from them.

Most people including Cordesman for some Clintonesque reason decline to even comment on an almost decade ago detonation picked up in the northern mountains of Iran which read as a nuclear bomb going off. This was the same period when Iran was buying defunct Soviet weapons and Khan was starting his crusade to arm the entire Islamic world with bombs for his profit with the Swiss.

So in noting the above, quoting Cordesman is like quoting Ahmadinejad. They both take great stock in the degree after their name and position they hold, but in examining their assessments.....they would be fired or laughed at in the real nuclear theater of reality.

There is only one solution on Iran and that was to fragment it. That was leaked to the press and the operation did not succeed. All that is left now is either wait for one or more US cities to be vaporized (Ahmadinejad knows that having FARC do it will leave Iran free so that the Israelit state without America will collapse under civil war.) or to strike Iran and annihilate the Persian Islamocommunist cordon of the center completely, set up autonomous ethnic regions in the north and south and wait for the next world war to wind up.

From the leading dolt at the war college to Cordesman, the United States is receiving some of thee most inept advice and information from people who in their writings are completely clueless.

How on earth does now neglect armed nuclear missiles shot down by Patriots? As Zell Miller would quip, "What does Cordesman think they are going to do just vanish!"

God bless America and the Judeans, as our leadership is getting horrid advice.

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