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Prediction Accuracy Hit Ratio

Reader comment on item: Middle East Debate: Should Washington Actively Promote an Israeli-Palestinian Peace Settlement?

Submitted by Mladen Andriasevic (Israel), May 11, 2003 at 03:44

I like the idea of "Bureau of Lessons Learned". Even more appropriate would be to introduce a PAHR - Prediction Accuracy Hit Ratio - something similar to a batting average, whereby all political analysts would be judged by how accurately their analyses and predictions squared with the actual turn of events This would bring a degree of responsibility and clarity into a field in which it was absent .

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