69 million page views

Honor Among Thieves

Reader comment on item: Why Hamas['s Electoral Victory] Leaves Me Neutral

Submitted by Robert Schwartz (United States), Feb 2, 2006 at 02:11

All of this back and forth assumes that Fatah will deliver the Palestinian state apparatus, such as it is, intact and timely to Hamas. I do not think that this assumption will hold up.

I think it much more likely that there will be an extended armed struggle (what most folks call a civil war) between Hamas and Fatah. I find it hard to believe that Fatah's good old boys will jump off their gravy train unless they are pushed.

The likely result of such a fight would be a series of zones controlled by warlords. perhaps most of Gaza would be given over to Hamas, but Fatah may dominate in the West Bank. Eventually, but not too soon, the Israelis, Egyptians and Jordanians will pick up the pieces, if only to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe. Egypt will be awarded a protectorate over Gaza. Jordan will incorporate most of the West Bank, and Israel will have lawful borders. The US and the EU will pay a boatload of aid and reconstruction money to make it happen. The Palestinians will get dropped into the trash can of history.

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Follow Daniel Pipes

Facebook   Twitter   RSS   Join Mailing List

All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes

Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes

(The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998.

For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.)