Daniel J. Pipes

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Prediction Accuracy Hit Ratio

Reader comment on item: Middle East Debate: Should Washington Actively Promote an Israeli-Palestinian Peace Settlement?

Submitted by Mladen Andriasevic (Israel), May 11, 2003 at 03:44

I like the idea of "Bureau of Lessons Learned". Even more appropriate would be to introduce a PAHR - Prediction Accuracy Hit Ratio - something similar to a batting average, whereby all political analysts would be judged by how accurately their analyses and predictions squared with the actual turn of events This would bring a degree of responsibility and clarity into a field in which it was absent .

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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