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Olmert not so incompetent as you think

Reader comment on item: Explaining Israel's Strategic Mistakes

Submitted by Lars Nielsen (Denmark), Jan 29, 2009 at 07:39

I have reread your initial article on this topic (Israel's incompetence...), and I think...:

1. The reasons, why Israel does not bomb the iranian nuclear facilities are probably

- There is no guarantee for success. Probably, the intelligence sources on this matter are not sufficient and the iranian defence is maybe too strong, so israel might loose many planes without reaching destoyong the iranian facilities

- Reactions from other countries might be expected so negative, so Israel would loose valuable friends, they cannot afford to loose

2. Your idea of a no-state solution sounds brillant, but I don´t think, Egypt or Jordan want to take over palestinian territories. What should they gain from that, and why should they use ressources trying stop palestinians firing rockets or making suicide atacks against Israel. On the contrary, Israel might find it harder to retaliate, if Egypt and Jordan were in control ?

3. But I fullheartedly agree with you, that it is foolish of Israel to support Fatah, as Fatah is Israel´s enemy just like Hamas. However, by attacking Hamas and let people understand, this is done to support Fatah, Israel weakens the position of Fatah, and hopefully brings this organisation to fall. If that happens, and Hamas take over, it would harm the palestinian position in the eyes of the U.S. and EU, and hopefully also weaken muslim support to the palestinians and their position in the UN.

This might bring on the only solution possible, that U.S. EU and the rich arab countries stop their financial support, not only to the palestinian authorities, but to the palestinian fugitives. If the UN administration for palestinian fugitives could be closed and the borders closed, so the fugitives were deprived of outside help, then there would be hope for peace.

So maybe, mr. Olmerts strategy is not so incompetent as you think.


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