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Great Plan - Trump is like Kissinger

Reader comment on item: Reservations about the Trump Peace Plan

Submitted by Robert (United States), Jan 30, 2020 at 12:30

Dear Daniel Pipes,

... As far as I'm concerned, Trump sees this as a basic Real-Estate deal - and its brilliant!

(1) You seem to not see that the plan isn't "American." Son-In-Law (Modern) Orthodox Kushner, with his other Orthodox Jewish American colleagues (Trump's Jewish Real Estate lawyers, for example), drafted the Plan first of all with the input of Israel (Netanyahu, an other Right Wingers of Israel). It only does not conform to the most extreme right, like Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked who want 100% annexation.

(2) Regarding "Hope" for the Palestinians. I think you underestimate Trump and his administration. They are aware of the observation of Abba Eban the "Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity." It's not "hope" that given, its an "option" and "conditions" for a Palestinian State - which the will not accept (99%?). Therefore Israel will be "victorious."

You advocate "victory" for Israel - but you never proposed the Strategy or Tactics. On the other hand, under Trump we can observe a systematic unfolding of events all forcible to Israel. I think you are overlooking the implicit tactics that will be available to Israel if Hamas and PA/PLO (Abbas) continue their Rejectionism.

You also seem to give no weight to the positive consequences of Russia under Putin in Syria and his arrive in Israel under the President's invitation for the Holocaust celebration. And Putin sees the 1,000,000 Russian speaking Israelis in Israel as "part of Russia."

You don't seem to give sufficient weight to Egyptian SISI's and his role in Gaza; and it is Iran which has most vehemently rejected this Plan (just today).

The Plan presents a proposal for a Palestinian State which the Sunni Arabs (Egyptians, Saudis and the Gulf states) proposed as a condition for diplomatic relations (recognition) with Israel. That means that Israel satisfies the terms of the Sunni Arabs but the Palestinians under Iranian support will reject it.

In brief, the mistake you are making in your analysis is failing to analyze the consequences of Palestinian Rejectionism that's implicitly clearly built into the Plan. I hypothesize that Abbas will not even propose an alternative. In fact even the Iranians have just announced an alternative - a Referendum in which all the non -Jews vote, as well as the Jews who lived in Palestine before 1948.

In summary, I think one needs to do 2 things to analyze Israel's way to "victory" that's built into the Plan: (1) consider it from outside Israel/Palestine - everything that's happening OUTSIDE under this plan. And (2) what are the options which will lead Israel to choose under the assumption that the Palestinians will simply Reject this PEACE TO PROSPERITY. And here a bit of Marxism might help. The proposed road to Prosperity may turn Palestinian Workers into the Middle Class, thereby giving their Bourgeoisie something to loose (Property); consider the Millions of Palestinian Refugees dreaming and hoping to Return to Israel. Now they are being given a 50 Billion Dollar alternative either to stay put (in Jordan, Syria, Lebanon) or to return to Palestine but not Israel.

So, in the fast moving Real World, Trump's move, as embodied in his "Deal of the Century" as developed by his Molder Orthodox Jewish Son-in-Law - as well as Am. David M. Friedman (also Orthodox, and a Settler), is absolutely BRILLIANT. Incidentally - no one will be (or need be) forcibly moved out. So therefore, there will be Palestinian Citizens living in Soverign Israel, and Israelis living in Soverign Palestine: no "Jew-free Palestinian State.

I think one needs to view the Plan as Realistic - so assume that the Palestinian "authorities" simply reject it. You Analysis is faulty because it "assumes" what will happen if the Palestinians say "yes." What makes the Plan a stroke of Genius is that it embodies the consequences o0f rejection by the Palestinians and doesn't depend on being accepted by the "enemy." It is exactly what you theoretically propose - act as the Victor in War!

Submitting....

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Reader comments (35) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
HALOIMES [28 words]Michael KerjmanFeb 20, 2020 21:58257855
100% agree with you, Dr Pipes [89 words]PrashantFeb 10, 2020 21:17257748
3read caroline glick [33 words]rwFeb 4, 2020 09:16257628
Where is the danger ? [395 words]JimFeb 4, 2020 07:24257626
1What in this plan should be commended? [24 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Vadim AnshelevichFeb 2, 2020 11:48257584
1A peace plan during active war is absurd [26 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
NickFeb 1, 2020 21:19257575
two wars account for different priorities [189 words]mythFeb 3, 2020 18:25257575
2don't pet the rattlesnake [124 words]Charles MartelJan 31, 2020 20:04257558
1Plan is a reflection of Trump's narcissism [176 words]DaveJan 31, 2020 11:23257548
America's History of Broken Mirrors Does Not Alter Israel's Future [324 words]M ToveyMar 3, 2020 13:59257548
1I Think You Missed Something [120 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
David RyanJan 31, 2020 10:30257545
No Sir, Mr. Pipes [114 words]David RyanJan 31, 2020 17:10257545
5I saw a terrific comment about this plan [29 words]AnonJan 31, 2020 06:43257542
1Brilliant reactions from brilliant leaders [230 words]JeffJan 30, 2020 22:12257539
Great Plan - Trump is like Kissinger [668 words]RobertJan 30, 2020 12:30257529
The Final Push - The Prompting of 'Peace to Posterity' [441 words]M ToveyJan 30, 2020 12:12257528
WOW! [5 words]Barry BlackJan 30, 2020 14:42257528
1Depends on Perspective - Pessimism for whom; victims of wrong ideology [155 words]M ToveyFeb 3, 2020 12:58257528
"The Ultimate Conclusion" [60 words]Barry BlackFeb 4, 2020 12:04257528
What is Inevitable is Hard to Understand in the Human Frame of Reference [289 words]M ToveyFeb 6, 2020 19:00257528
1Ramallah's Pipe dreams [181 words]J T MeyerJan 30, 2020 11:55257527
2Peace Plans - since Carter have all failed [117 words]Darlene CasellaJan 30, 2020 09:47257525
1about Trump's peace plan [12 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Minju Fluri-YenJan 30, 2020 08:44257524
how to convince the Palestinians? [31 words]Minju Fluri-YenFeb 2, 2020 14:48257524
1Excellent points, BUT . . . [116 words]Peter G. PollakJan 30, 2020 08:09257523
1I hope you're right about that [34 words]Anne JulienneJan 30, 2020 15:24257523
3I agree [92 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Nidra PollerJan 30, 2020 04:09257522
Spot On. [74 words]MARK AlexanderJan 30, 2020 00:38257519
Trump Plan [226 words]IssacNewtonJan 29, 2020 23:13257518
1The Benefits of the Deal [68 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
SteinJan 29, 2020 21:43257515
1I hope [72 words]SteinJan 31, 2020 05:21257515
Past expereince causes much pessimism [46 words]Harry PlossJan 29, 2020 19:16257509
1Plan Needs Realism [32 words]Barry BlackJan 29, 2020 19:00257508
It's a Variation [29 words]Barry BlackJan 30, 2020 14:50257508
thank you, Daniel [78 words]Anne JulienneJan 29, 2020 18:56257507

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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