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history repeats itself and Israel must be ready

Reader comment on item: The Middle East Runs out of Water

Submitted by David Meir-Levi (Israel), May 12, 2015 at 03:38

From and Assyriologist-Archaeologist point of view, Dr Pipes' article is very interesting. The current situation as he describes it in the Middle East may be a rather terrifying re-run of something similar that occured during the last millenium BCE, reaching its apogee around 2,500 years ago. Gradual regional desiccation and a creeping salinization of ground-water in the southern end of the Tigris-Euphrates valley , due apparently to the over-exploitation of ground water for irrigation, may have been at cause for the end of the Babylonian empire, the victory of the Persian king Cyrus (of Biblical fame: he's the guy who sent the Jews back to Judea after the Babylonians exiled them to southern Babylonia seven decades earlier), and the decimation of the Babylonian population in that area (now the Basra region of Iraq), resulting in abandoned cities and villages and a population shift northward. This regional desiccation may have been the result of a millennia-long cycle of regional or global warming, excacerbated by "...population growth, short-sighted dictators, distorted economic incentives, and infrastructure-destroying warfare."

The sanization seems to have been the result of over-use of ground water for irrigaton, resulting in the graual entry of brackish or saline water into the regional water table, rendering much (but not all, the Euphrates still flowed) water unpotable for people and animals and deadly for agriculture.

For the present and near future, I agree with Daniel's "..Desperate neighbors might think about ending their futile state of war with the world's hydraulic superpower and instead learning from it." But his suggestion seems a bit optimist .

I think it is more likely that hundreds of millions of desperatly thirsty, and perhaps starving as well (wells run dry, crops fail, livestock dies), Muslims, with Jew-hatred and Israel-hatred and Great-Satan hatred bred into them for centuries, will blame the West, blame America, blame Israel, blame the Jews; and thus flock to their pathological jihadist leaders in even greater numbers enabling even greater Muslim efforts to destroy Islam's enemies, starting with those nearest them.

Israel, awash in water and overflowing "...with brainpower and political maturity," will need to deal with the upheaval of displaced Muslim populations awash in enmity toward all things non-Muslim, and in enmity-on-steroids toward Jews and Israel. With enmity replacing brainpower, and with political maturity largely lacking over Islam's 1,400 years, these hungry and thirsty Muslims are likely to enormously exacebate Israel's precarious security situation and provide even more manpower to the Muslim forces currently aligned against her.

It is not hard to foresee (recall the behavior of Gaza's Arabs in 2005 toward Israeli greenhouses, left whole and functioning, when Israel pulled its 9000 citizens out of the Gaza Strip) Iran's leaders declaring that a nuclear attack on Israel is more than justified. Indeed it is clearly part of Allah's plan for Muslim global victory, and must be carried out at all costs as soon as possible, in order to eradicate the Zionist Entity whose very existence on sacred Muslim soil renders the land accursed and unclean. Hence the water shortages, and hence the need for the assault on Israel, even though such an attack would destroy the very technology that offers salvation.

Armageddon is slouching toward Bethlehem, soon to be born again. I hope Israel is ready.

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".


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Reader comments (37) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
Water, water everywhere but not a drop to drink. [23 words]ken volzJan 11, 2016 09:35227575
4Lake Urmia [101 words]DoraminJun 14, 2015 12:45223813
2Easy Fix. [17 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
DanJun 11, 2015 10:09223767
1Middle East Running out of Water [129 words]PrashantJun 1, 2015 17:09223616
1Islam and Water [65 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
BillMay 31, 2015 22:12223612
Updating models [43 words]David W. LincolnMay 14, 2015 19:20223356
1More Than Slightly Obnoxious Question Called For [170 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
AlexMay 13, 2015 21:20223344
Grateful Islam [64 words]PermReaderMay 13, 2015 09:32223332
they want the lot [45 words]Mohammed Waza Khiddif Id'ullahMay 15, 2015 05:37223332
sea/land relative levels for Egypt, et al. pending reversal±? [25 words]Don BMay 12, 2015 18:29223330
Gaza engineer seeks solution to water woes [30 words]PezDispenserMay 12, 2015 13:12223328
5history repeats itself and Israel must be ready [543 words]David Meir-LeviMay 12, 2015 03:38223324
2Future water wars [65 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
SantaMonikerMay 11, 2015 07:11223311
A little misleading [84 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
TylerMay 11, 2015 05:37223309
5Cataclysm awaits [337 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
blertMay 10, 2015 19:58223298
2It's Kind of Cruel, but .. [271 words]Ron ThompsonMay 10, 2015 14:29223293
1Droughts are prophesied for the last days. [255 words]Michael SMay 11, 2015 02:51223293
2A Problem with Monotheism, or just one branch of it? [469 words]Ron ThompsonMay 16, 2015 14:40223293
The motivation behind wars [2262 words]Michael SMay 26, 2015 16:23223293
Sectarianism, God and the world's problems [1133 words]Michael SOct 2, 2015 03:43223293
2Water in the Middle East [20 words]Richard_OneMay 10, 2015 13:09223292
3It's not going to work.... [44 words]Jon, a Brit in EurolandMay 10, 2015 10:47223290
1Demographic collapse [341 words]Michael SMay 11, 2015 20:23223290
2Looming Threats due to Scarcity of Water in the Middle East [129 words]Ali H. Alyami, CDHRMay 9, 2015 22:22223273
3water [8 words]randyMay 9, 2015 15:08223266
6One More Trigger for Region-wide Violence [198 words]Jim WherryMay 9, 2015 13:19223265
1educational problem. A question of choices. [78 words]Veronica van BruggenMay 9, 2015 09:12223258
2Read the Book "Water..." by Solomon [30 words]Bob HeltmanMay 9, 2015 08:58223257
4Solution to the Middle East war [44 words]Jeanette JonasMay 9, 2015 05:34223255
5No water shortage in Israel [125 words]Steven ShermanMay 9, 2015 02:30223252
1Revelations [39 words]SunshineMay 8, 2015 23:29223249
3Apocalyptic truths revealedrmageddonou [208 words]Admiral Peter KikareasMay 8, 2015 22:57223248
2Tough love [86 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
SunshineMay 8, 2015 21:46223246
2KHAT [138 words]SunshineMay 10, 2015 01:21223246
5Water crisis:Iran [68 words]FatherJonMay 8, 2015 21:26223245
1Water as Source for Life - The Eternal Sovereign is the SOURCE for Rivers of Living Water [199 words]M. ToveyMay 11, 2015 13:27223245
5Will they die rather than make peace and learn? My bias is towards death...the clerics will have all the water they need. [19 words]Gary MullennicMay 8, 2015 21:11223244

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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