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Cataclysm awaits

Reader comment on item: The Middle East Runs out of Water

Submitted by blert (United States), May 10, 2015 at 19:58

The driving reason for Assad's water well folly was Turkish water project dams, located in the Kurdish zone of Southeast Anatolia. Left off your list: the absolute chaos of Libya is destroying the almost completed super project: the Great Man Made River. The talent has run off back to the First World. The true story of Mosul's insane dam is that it should never have been built where it was and with the materials and design it has. Western experts warned Baghdad to drain the impoundment lake ASAP lest it fail during a quake -- and take out the lower Tigris valley -- espically Baghdad. Pakistan has not built a significant water impoundment project or recycling scheme in the last forty-years.

All of Islamabad's funding has gone into atomic weaponry, making Islamabad far more insane than Tehran. Atomic weapons are a money pit for Pakistan. Only at the last minute does Islamabad realize that they CAN'T sell atomics to Saudi Arabia. It would infuriate their western neighbor. The result would be a Shia-Sunni-Sikh-Hindu sandwitch -- with the Pakistani Army totally broke. The recent Taliban helicopter shoot-down should have Islamabad (especially Punjabis) totally freaking out.

The Muslim Middle East has reached the edge of the 'Petri dish.' With astonishing consistency, no-one in a leadership position has ever proritized water supply, quality or recycling. It's actually too late for outside intervention. A brutal exodus towards wetter lands must surely ensue. Yet, the rest of the planet simply can't absorb 100,000,000 thirsty, fleeing, Muslims. ( And within that number, many an enraged Islamist. ) Based upon the human record, the single most likely outcome is a horrific, bloodly international (sectarian) war that will eclipse all that have come before.

It's already too late for diplomacy, economics, or rationality. When open conflict reaches the seas, food transfers will stop. Virtually every nation in the MENA is importing half of its calories, that includes Iran. Without oceanic trade that nation will starve. Sealing off the Strait of Hormuz is not an option.

Submitting....

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Daniel Pipes replies:

I lacked the space to discuss Libya or Pakistan.

I don't know that it's too late to fix things if people wise up.

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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