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Slight underestimation

Reader comment on item: Happy Israel

Submitted by Y Brandstetter MD (Israel), Jun 6, 2013 at 15:55

According to mr Ettinger, former consul to NY, the figure is 2.9 children per woman in the Jewish sector, up from 2.2 in 1995. In raw numbers 147K new births in the jewish sector, versus 37K in the Arab sector in 2012, which fertility has declined from 6.9 per woman to 3.5, and fast declining further as Arab women become more educated, more prosperous, and can count on Israeli police and courts for their human rights.

As a Pediatrician I can report that most of this increase is in the Jewish secular sector where 3-4-5 children per household where two parents are working, and grandparents helping out, has become the norm.

Submitting....

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Daniel Pipes replies:

If the overall Israeli birthrate is 2.65 and you are right about the Jewish Israeli rate being 2.9, and Jews make up over 3/4s of the population, this implies the Arab birthrate is under 2.

That's does not pass the common sense test.

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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