69 million page views

The Real Answer Is You Can't Tell

Reader comment on item: Is Western Europe Turning to the Right?

Submitted by David Ryan (United States), Jul 19, 2021 at 14:25

Lying to pollsters on issues of religious and ethnic views and candidates while voting more conservatively (or "White") is called in the US the Bradley (or sometimes Wilder or Dinkins) effect, after Black Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley underperformed favorable polls in losing the 1982 election for California governor, and Black candidates Douglas Wilder and David Dinkins very narrowly won elections for Virginia governor and New York City mayor, respectively, in 1989 after polling with wide leads. People either want to feel they are more tolerant or they want pollsters to think they are tolerant, even when the situation they perceive is intolerable.

Submitting....

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Reader comments (5) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
Revisiting Projection of Conservative Values Outside of Political Influences [243 words]M ToveyAug 18, 2021 11:26272806
3Mind your Ps and Qs [50 words]TonyJul 19, 2021 18:44270116
5Cultural relativism is popular, and it's undermining the West [457 words]DaveJul 19, 2021 15:31270110
1The Real Answer Is You Can't Tell [103 words]David RyanJul 19, 2021 14:25270106
Inconclusive Polling - Not the Right Questions Being Asked? [475 words]M ToveyJul 19, 2021 11:50270101

Follow Daniel Pipes

Facebook   Twitter   RSS   Join Mailing List

All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes

Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes

(The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998.

For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.)