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The Role of Unintended Consequences: Lebanon, A Failed State Under Hezbollah?

Reader comment on item: [Israel's Withdrawal from Lebanon:] A Pivotal Moment

Submitted by Robert (United States), Jun 29, 2021 at 10:03

Twenty one years ago who would have predicted that Lebanon would stay out of an 11-day war between Gaza and Israel? From that strategic, if not merely tactical perspective it appears as a side-benefit of Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon at that time. But in fact, something else was brewing: it was "Victorious" Hezbollah which effectively took over Lebanon, and now Lebanon is a FAILED STATE.

Having an Enemy Country turn into a Failed State is a tactic towards Victory is like a general who cuts off the supply lines of his adversaries forces.

Off course, having 30,000 or more missiles aimed at Israel from Lebanon and manned by Hezbollah is a gamble that these will never be used. But if they were to be used, Lebanon may well be driven into the Stone Age if or when the IDF retaliates.

Nevertheless, it appears that the Victory of Israel over Lebanon, and Syria as well, recurred by leaving Lebanon in the hands of Hezbollah, and Syria to the fate in store for it as a consequence of the Arab Spring thanks to Providence and its love for the Chosen People of Israel (its Biblical Jews).


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