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Turmoil in the Middle East Will Never Be Consistent - Until It's Over

Reader comment on item: Predicting the Fall-out from Qasem Soleimani's Death
in response to reader comment: What may be consistency in President Trump's reactions

Submitted by M Tovey (United States), Jan 14, 2020 at 17:39

If there is any thought that being able to predict the fallout from the military action against the al-Quds leader will follow a rational path to the next scenario of trading strike for strike, since when has that been a credible source of anticipation in this continuing incredible war of attrition. The Middle East in these modern times has not yet produced the outcome so many have tried to accomplish; and we need only go back to the loss of the Turkish Ottoman empire that Erdoǧan seems so intent to revise. His misguided attempts are in line with so many ambitions, not the least of which are the Russian endeavors in concert with the Iranians, the erstwhile 'Palestinians', and all the compatible Shi'a influences that are now in some disarray since the singular main influence has been silenced.
Dare any think this will be the defining moment that forms a new path to Middle East diplomacy? Given all the misguided rhetoric; hardly.
Do the actions of the United States, evidently misconstrued by all but a few actors in the region, constitute the basis for moving towards a peaceful solution to solve Israel's perennial issue with the 'Palestinian' sector of society, a nuclear issue if there is any in the region; again, the rhetoric is inconsistent and draws no competent rationale for such a 'solution,' not even from the United States.
The only issue that has been defined in the last forty years, or even longer, back to 1948, is the treatment of Israel as it seeks to be a nation among nations that should be accorded respect, but as such is not; that is until the American 45th Chief Executive gave notice that Israel will eventually receive her place among the nations, over any objections to the contrary. That is the consistency in these recent actions to according Israel's place in a world gone mad, even in spite of Israel's dithering leadership.
The loss of headway in the region's antipathies towards Israel and the reactions one might suppose may result from the military strike against Israel's main antagonists is certainly worth noting; the expectation is that it is going to get worse. The simmering and fuming that is being built up cannot help but continue towards the inevitable conclusion; that like the six day war, Israel's sovereignty will continue to be expanded upon until the memo is received: do not mess with that which you do not understand: Israel wins.

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