69 million page views

Gaza vs. Iran - for an Israeli Victory, Consider Iran First

Reader comment on item: Should Israel Invade Gaza?

Submitted by Robert (United States), Sep 24, 2019 at 15:21

I've always complained that the notion of "Victory" as answering the issues of Policy for Israel is too Vague in the writings of Daniel Pipes. But this article seems to do better when it concludes with three questions that appear Tactical in nature: (1) Starvation, (2) Homelessness, and Leaderless. And these are applied to the inhabitants of Gaza only. But in fact the issue of Palestine involves (1) the Palestinian Residents and so-called "Refugees" of the world, the (2) Arab populations of the world, and (3) the Muslims (Sunni or Shia) of the world.

With these distinctions in mind, it seems like Gaza is an "annoyance" for Israel which merely requires "mowing the lawn." the strategic real or primary enemy of Israel for war appears to be Iran. And here it seems that "Strategic Patience" may be best. Providence (arguably) appears to be at work; In Syria, Russia is allegedly struggling against Iran to take control of Assad victory, appointing or assassination leader of different militias that don't submit to Russia interests. two other players in the field are Turkey and the Kurds with their adverse goals at play. The situation is extremely complex - unlike the World Wars of the West's Cold War against the Soviet Union in which the Enemies were either Neutral (Switzerland) or neatly fell into the camps of Allies or Axis Powers. But in the Middle East we seem to have a War of All Against All.

An Israeli victory therefore deepens on the outcome of the Strategic struggles between Israel and Iran - mainly. So from a Policy point of view, the Strategic Threat to Israel is not from the East (Gaza), but from the North - Lebanon and Syria, and from the further North - Iraq. And here, it seems, another lawn is growing from Israel's viewpoint, in which undeclared bombing are used by Israel to mow it. And whether or not this will turn into War should be decided by other participants: Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Iran.

So the best Policy should be Patience. The United States under Trump is squeezing Iran economically. And the Saudis are confronting Iran by attacking their proxies in Yemen, the Houthies. And in the case of Syria and Lebanon, the Iranians may have over-extended themselves, particularly in Syria where the Iranians now face the Russians as their primary adversaries, with Turkey and the Kurds imposing their own interests that should make Syria continue in instability and costliness for the interests of Iran. It increasingly looks like a repetitively Cold Israeli war against Iran and its non-State militia Proxies is the best Policy and Strategy for an Israeli Victory.


Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Follow Daniel Pipes

Facebook   Twitter   RSS   Join Mailing List

All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2024 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes

Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes

(The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998.

For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.)