No real Middle East Peace Deal in the near future.

Submitted by Michael S, Jul 10, 2019 at 02:36

"I have reached two conclusions that seem unique to me:

(1) the essence of the deal is "The Arab states recognize Israel and Israel recognizes Palestine" and
(2) the PA will accept the deal (because it also involves U.S. recognition of Palestine).

None of the above is highly likely. My take on the promised "peace deal" is this:

1. 80% of Israeli Jews support Donald Trump, most of them love him, most of those adore him and many of those worship him. Binyamin Netanyahu's numbers are doubtless nowhere near as high as these; so his best bet for political survival probably lies with riding on the US president's coat tails.

2. I think President Trump would be foolish, in this election campaign year, to do anything that could be construed as anti-Israel and pro-Arab; because the majority of Americans, and nearly all of his base, are anti-Arab and pro-Israel.

If President Trump does make the gambit of a stitch-up deal in Israel, for PR purposes, to be portrayed as "The Great Peacemaker" (aka Messiah), it will be almost all window dressing. A real Middle East Peace Deal has as much chance of succeeding as Communism.

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