Determining the True Power of the Iranian Islamic Revolution

Submitted by M. Tovey (United States), Jul 19, 2011 at 16:44

As much as there might be reasons for changing the status of an organization that presents a better alliance with an indigent population of a foreign power, have we not learned the lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan for the policies of regime analysis and reconfiguration? Democracy was given yet another chance in Iraq, and to what purpose? All indications are that the infighting situation has taken a different tact, colored with the implications that Iranian influences there are as pungent there as they have been since the 1980's war that plunged those countries into a state of political instability that has yet to demonstrate a viable solution. That may change if the United States gets too involved again for its own good.

Further appearances of Iran's instability in leadership comes not from the ruling cleric's inability to instill strong religious values in the constant cause of the revolution, but from the perceived influences outside that are being blamed, just as it is alleged in places like Libya and Syria where democracy is sought to change things. But here too, are hints that Tehran has some influences of their own; and very shortly, if not already so, the power to make it stick.

Giving aide and succor to the indigent people/agencies that seek reform in other countries has been a defining aspect of American foreign policy for so long now, it appears in expectant form. But the track record of successes, if one could get away by calling them that, are inconsistent. Much intervention and resources spent have left the world hungering for a peace that can never be bought or fought for since there are those who cannot countenance peace and will struggle at any cost. It is, after all, the nature of the Beast.

However, do not hope too soon that by review and determination that any indigent group seeking reform from the Tehran government is clear by the state department to pursue their intentions that there will not be consequences. The current government of Iran is finalizing preparations that might make such intentions an discussion academic, for it may also end up being the cause to engage the Iranian government on different level; and it will not be from the determination of an outcome of an internal struggle.

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