What is next for Egypt?

Submitted by dhimmi no more (United States), Apr 3, 2011 at 08:20

Thank you Dr. Pipes

In the case of Egypt: Hosni Mubarak had to go and irhal (the root of the word is RHL and rihla means a tirp and irhal means "you go on a trip" and i read it as get lost) he did.

But what is next? There is no doubt that el-ikhwan el-muslimeen (muslim brotherhood) , and more alarming el-salafiyeen (salafists), have a real chance of ruling Egypt.

Yes the secularists and I include here liberal Muslims, that cannot stomach the idea of Egypt becoming another Iran, and the Copts and many women do not have a common front and that is indeed a problem. If the truth is to be told el-ikhwan are not as organized as we think they are. Their goal is to have an islamic state in Egypt but beyond this they have no platform and not a thing and case in point was can a Copt become the president of Egypt? and the answers were yes and no and may be! So it is clear that they do not have a clear plan and not even what is really this Islamic state that they have in mind. And in response to such question a spokesman was quoted as saying that the aim of el-ikhwan is that Egypt "mesh hayib'a fi masr kosa" which means there will be no more nepotism! When he was pressed for more answers he excused himself because he has to go and pray salat el-3asr!

Another case in point was the debates about the second article in the constituation (where it says that Arabic and islam are the official language and religion of Egypt introduced by Anwar el-Sadat in 1971 in-order to make el-ikhwan happy) and the debate was about may be Coptic Christianity should also be an official religion and Egyptian Arabic (el-3amiyya) as well as the Coptic/Egyptian should also be made official languages of Egypt and the Egyptian calendar (which is used by farmers as it is very much in sync with Egypt) be included in any calendar as was the case prior to 1971). But what do you do with the followers of the Baha'ee sect and what would you do with the Egyptian Shi3a and how about Egyptian catholics and el-Ingiliyeen (read this as protestants ( and they do exist). And how about the islamic shari3a would it be used as whole or would the strange (as in the case of al-jizya) and the barbaric (as in the case of chopping arms of thieves) be not included in the Egyptian law? And how about term limits where the president of Egypt can serve for only two terms? and would the courts force him to leave after two terms? Well el-ikhwan provided who ever is listening with answers and they were "yes and no and allahu a3lam or only God knows" which means that they have no clue but the most significant factor here is that Egypt is not Iran so i really do not see an Islamic Egypt like Iran ! Wishful thinking? May be

So what is going to happen in Egypt? Well we can learn from the 1952 inqlab (coup d'etat) that there must be a dark horse among the military (and this is what Nasser was in 1952) and in due time he will be in charge. And yes the army is full of ikhwaneyeen (members of the Muslim brotherhood) as in 1952 but the army would not want to share governing Egypt with anyone even el-ikhwan or el-salafiyeen or even secularists (as in the case of 1952 where Ali Maher, the then prime minster following the coup, was let go by el-zubbat el-ahrar or the free officers and then Mohamed Nageeb was in chrage for a few months then Nasser took over) and i supect that such leader is also going to be in charge for the next 30-40 years so what is his name? I can only say: stay tuned

I guess plus ca oh well we know the rest here

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