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Hizbullah-initiated attack on Israel unlikely at present

Reader comment on item: What Syrian Chemical Weapons Reveal about Obama
in response to reader comment: Observance of Tisha B'Av in the Midst of ME Tragedies

Submitted by Michael S (United States), Aug 1, 2015 at 22:16

Hi, Tovey. You said,

...the next intifada. Comments from Hizbollah indicate it cannot be all that far off.

Could you cite those comments? It looks to me as though Hizbullah is in a bit of a bind lately. ISIS and Turkey seem to have the upper hand at the moment, in Syria-Lebanon. Their Iranian sponsors have also not been doing well lately on the battlefield:

"The Iraqi Kurdish Bas News outlet on June 8 reported that major command changes had been conducted on the Latakia-Hama-Idlib front after Iran Revolutionary Guards Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani visited the front. A Hama-based media activist said that the Syrian regime's chief of operations in the area, General Jamal Younis, had been removed from his post...
-- https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/NewsReports/565652-rebels-press-along-assads-coastal-heartland"

With Obama giving Turkey the green light to attack the Marxist PKK and YPD, our only effective allies in the area against ISIS, it appears that the latter have the initiative. Iran's dealing with the Great Satan to get relief from economic sanctions, meanwhile, shows that they are not currently doing all that well.

You know that the Ezekiel 38-39 attack will not happen until Iran and Turkey patch up their differences enough to present a common front against Israel. I don't see that happening soon: The ink isn't even dry yet on the Iran-G5+1 treaty, and the US Congress has yet to vote on it. Once it is passed, as seems likely at the moment, Iran will try to be on good behavior until the sanctions relief and investments from overseas kick in. If they give Hizbullah the go-ahead to attack Israel now, they will not be able to back them up substantively. The Iranians do not have a history of being so rash. You went on,

Speaking of temples, (the third Temple constuction likely starting within just a few years, if that long), is central to the Scriptures that have set the upcoming stage of events. For this observance, the tragedy of Damascus cannot be all that far off, either.

You know my own view on this, that the prophesied "tragedy of Damascus" happened 2600 years ago. I expect Damascus to fall, perhaps soon; but I wouldn't stake any money on a date. A coordinated Turkish-ISIS is certainly a possibility; and if and when it happens, I expect Obama to simply stand slack-jawed in wonder: He won't do anything about it. If Assad falls, the whole balance of the situation will change, and the Iranians could very well use Hizbullah then to attack Israel. A desperate Assad might also join in such an attack, to save his neck.

We seem to be on the verge of the opposite of what happened during Daniel's time: At that time, the Iranians defeated Croessus of Lydia (the Ezekiel-era Gog), and Croessus joined the Iranians in their attack on the Fertile Crescent. In the scenario we seem to be facing, it is the defeated Iranians who will be joining Turkey (modern Gog) in the attack. Iran has not been crushed yet, though. Perhaps they will provoke Israel into devastating them: all things are possible, especially in the Middle East.

Supper will be on the table soon. Shalom shalom :-)

PS. I don't know what will happen concerning the Temple. Your guess is as good as mine.


Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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Reader comments (30) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
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w/response from Daniel Pipes
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David KoralMay 19, 2015 19:19223423
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1Syrian Chemical Weapons and Obama [16 words]Howard BrownMay 19, 2015 16:37223419

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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