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A Somewhat Different Scoring

Reader comment on item: Scoring the Syria Deal

Submitted by stuffagain (United States), Sep 17, 2013 at 17:16

The regimen implied by the OPCW protocols, if accepted by the US, Russia and Assad, may extend over many years; perhaps a decade. This is the amount time necessary to locate, catalogue and destroy the CW. Moreover, these activities must take place under the aegis of Assad regime functionaries. In light of this we should modify the winners and losers list.

Assad is a big winner. The US can no longer support the overthrow of Assad while working through the OPCW protocols with his regime. The prospective, "unbelievably small" attack on Syria is suspended, and likely the arms support to the Sunni coalition as well. The US is transformed from potential adversary to bystander. I assume here that the loss of CW is not a great loss to Assad as they can be readily replaced.

Russia and Putin are big winners. In the Syrian conflict a primary goal of Russia is that its client Assad maintains power. This is made more likely by the removal of the US as a potential ally of and armorer to the Sunni opposition. The Russian lodgment in the Middle East is thereby strengthened.

The Sunni opposition is a big loser by virtue of losing the US as prospective ally.

Obama is a slight winner. By transforming the administration policy position form Assad must go, to CW must go, he will take the media spotlight away from their foreign policy incompetence.

The US is a loser by virtue of losing influence in this part of the Middle East to Russia. Perhaps we can turn our attention now to the Iran nuclear development, but I doubt it. Although it is true we had no dog in this fight, it would have been better if it had ended without loss of US influence.

Israel loses whenever US influence in the region is diminished.

Submitting....

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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Reader comments (21) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
Weird article? [347 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
AlexandrosSep 22, 2013 19:58209950
Iran-US alliance? [44 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Nazim CairoSep 22, 2013 18:57209946
No it will not be a Sunni v Shia alliance [95 words]dhimmi no moreSep 23, 2013 07:02209946
1Putin and Iran is a Winner! [174 words]DaveSep 22, 2013 15:38209941
1Ukraine Will Possibly Be Invaded By Russia [492 words]Lujack SkylarkFeb 9, 2014 18:33209941
end game for Obama's style of peace making, [190 words]rodney allsworthSep 19, 2013 02:42209885
Worry About Obama in US, not MidEast [74 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
JerrySep 19, 2013 00:52209883
A World UPSIDE DOWN [76 words]NuritGSep 18, 2013 10:19209867
will Obama learn when he confronts Iran [111 words]mythSep 18, 2013 04:32209861
as a result of complication Assad dictates the rules of the game [282 words]mythSep 18, 2013 04:21209860
The decline of USA Empire [121 words]Peter KikareasSep 17, 2013 23:18209851
Scoring the Syria Deal [43 words]steven lSep 17, 2013 22:50209846
Pls explain [61 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
MarkSep 17, 2013 19:56209842
2Islamic culture is a War Culture [141 words]Robin RosenblattSep 17, 2013 19:06209833
2Kinds of wars in the current state of the world [359 words]PrashantSep 19, 2013 17:50209833
NOTHING IS HAPPENING [84 words]JACQUES HADIDASep 17, 2013 18:58209832
Regardless, the American people lose, lose ... lose. [213 words]kmanSep 17, 2013 17:34209831
2A Somewhat Different Scoring [306 words]stuffagainSep 17, 2013 17:16209830
1Isn't Israel winning as well ? [179 words]Jon, a Brit in EurolandSep 18, 2013 10:19209830
Dream scenario [27 words]Barry ApplebySep 29, 2013 11:12209830
Taking stock [29 words]David W. LincolnSep 17, 2013 15:22209828

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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