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Good Question Now; But Timing Will Be Everything Later

Reader comment on item: After an Israeli Strike on Iran
in response to reader comment: So what's Israel waiting for?

Submitted by M. Tovey (United States), Jul 2, 2012 at 15:59

"So what's Israel waiting for…..?" A question that begs answering, to be sure; but an answer that makes sense in the ever-changing environment of the Middle East is no longer so prominently easy.

To repeat, in this reader's previous observation, …..'all of the realigning of the Arab upheaval that has been going on for nearly two years, and of a situation that was inaugurated in 2009 that has come to fruition recently suggests Israel needs to take a differing approach to what's happening. To be sure, Iran is for all practical purposes begging to have a reason to hit Israel: they have their version of cabinet meetings to discuss all the possible ways to move on Israel-but if they could have done it at any time, they would not have needed nuclear power to do it. To be more sure, to keep Iran from becoming nuclear is a high priority but should not be cause for the potential of diverting attention to the shape shifting of other potential threats to Israel.'

Mullahs in modern history have been pounding the pulpit for the chance of eliminating Israel from the national scene by any means possible. But there was little in the way of a demonstrative action that could accomplish such a daunting task, since mullah inspired invasions of 1967 and 1973 and lesser attacks proved Israel's tenacity in survival was more challenging than what was once thought possible.

Enter Yasser Arafat; an individual with questionable credentials that was able to gain a 'Palestinian' following with complementary alignments of Islamically inspired allies and further was able to entertain foreign dignitaries of the like of the Israeli prime ministers and presidents of the United States. His only failing by Islamic standards was that he bargained too much peace in the face of the warring mentalities that wanted more than just talk. But talk he did, allaying the push of his alliances to move in on Israel by practicing 'hudna;' but it began to wear on his more impatient associates. While he spoke peace in English and war in Arabic, his closest colleagues grew even more weary that peace, like that with Jordan and Israel and Egypt with Israel, seemed to be the only thing being accomplished under his leadership.

The equation with Egypt is now under scrutiny and is likely to be broken if the Egyptian military can be convinced by Mursi that peace is no longer tenable. King Abdullah in Jordan is under similar pressures. The only thing that places Israel in a place of a sense of urgency is from a source that is less identifiable than the prompting and ravings of the Iranian mullahs. Syria is an open question that may or may not present opportunities to enlarge the battle to include Israel.

Four years ago, Israel had a good friend in the former President of the United States, a situation less than amicable since the occupancy of the current American Administrative Executive. Now with an open format of formerly secret deliberations of options, Israel is placed in a more unpredictable circumstance that does not bode well if they go ahead to act alone; for doing so in this situation would be decidedly reason enough for those who seek Israel's demise to enter into a retaliatory posture and send their own message to Israel's detriment. The U.N. is already postured to back that up with their own sanctions.

No, Israel is potentially no longer in a viable position to consider a preemptive action and is compelled to seek other means for security. But be assured, when that time comes, the world will find out that when you mess with the 'apple of Almighty God's eye,' they will come to rue the day they ever thought to try messing with Israel.

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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