3 readers online now  |  69 million page views

Behind the roadmap

Reader comment on item: [The Road Map:] Learning from Oslo

Submitted by Ilona Melstrads (United States), Jun 13, 2003 at 13:50

So far, Bush seems wishy-washy. Who are his advisors on this subject? (Yesterday a Haaretz article indicated that soon US might show some adjustment in the road map toward Israel's position, but on a relatively minor point.)

Is it possible that the terrorist groups around Israel are becoming emboldened because they are counting on Iraq turning out unfavorably for the US? This might be one reason that the roadmap is premature, along with the still-prevailing terrorist ideology.

At the height of American euphoria on Iraq, in mid- or late-April I, sent a pessimistic e-mail to a Fox commentator, but Fox must have confused me with an antiwar activist, or thought me just a nut (the latter is possible). I stated that the real war would begin some months later, after the restoration of most of the basic utilities. It would begin when the coalition starts to reconstruct the Iraqi economy. I guessed that Iraq would still have about 100,000 people, Iraqis plus sympathizers, willing to fight and sabotage the facilities as they are being constructed.

Estimating the original Iraqi military as about 1,000,0000 (together with the several hundred thousands of criminals Saddam Hussein released from prison), subtracting the large numbers who would not want to fight and those who might have been killed in the one-month war, about 100,000 fighters might remain. I simply could not believe in the almost completely vanishing Iraqi army implied by the news. (But that may be due o the absence of official, public, believable accounting of the original Iraqi forces, the numbers captured, and the numbers killed.)
Submitting....

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

Comment on this item

Mark my comment as a response to Behind the roadmap by Ilona Melstrads

Email me if someone replies to my comment

Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

See recent outstanding comments.

Follow Daniel Pipes

Facebook   Twitter   RSS   Join Mailing List
eXTReMe Tracker

All materials by Daniel Pipes on this site: © 1968-2020 Daniel Pipes. daniel.pipes@gmail.com and @DanielPipes

Support Daniel Pipes' work with a tax-deductible donation to the Middle East Forum.Daniel J. Pipes

(The MEF is a publicly supported, nonprofit organization under section 501(c)3 of the Internal Revenue Code.

Contributions are tax deductible to the full extent allowed by law. Tax-ID 23-774-9796, approved Apr. 27, 1998.

For more information, view our IRS letter of determination.)