The Lesson is Clear

Submitted by Howard Golden (United States), Nov 21, 2006 at 09:14

Dear Mr. Pipes:

I agree that it is often a mistake to, so to speak, take the present "curve" and extend it in its present direction, as a predictor of future trends. Every day, the temperature rises, but also goes down.

However, I wish to emphasize that the mistake of extrapolation should not admit a "things-will-work-out" complacency. Sometimes the trends do change, but that is because people take action to change them.

With best regards.

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