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Erdogan is, and likely will continue to be, absolutely in control -- even after the election

Reader comment on item: Turkey's Unimportant Election
in response to reader comment: dictators end

Submitted by Michael S (United States), Jun 12, 2015 at 14:00

HI, Havas.

The results of the election are that Erdogan's AK Party got 41'% of the vote; and the three opposition parties do not agree much with each other. Erdogan has instructed PM Davutoglu to form a government -- with or without governing partners, apparently. One party, the MHP, has not ruled out joining AKP in a governing coalition; but most commentators seem to doubt the prospects of this: they believe Erdogan will seek new elections. By scaring the people (his forte, it seems) and mass arrests, he might pull off a victory; or he can stir up so much dissent that he "has to" take over as a dictator.

Erdogan's bag of tricks is far from empty; and I wonder if anyone in Turkey, including MHP's Devlet Bahçeli, can come anywhere near the Dark Leader in popularity. Bahçeli certainly has no taste for sitting on the same side of the aisle as the mainly Kurdish HDP, which he would need to be a partner with in order to claim a majority coalition. Erdogan is a Hitler-like charismatic kook, from all I see and read; and remember that Hitler came to power from a minority position.

To answer your question, I agree with Daniel Pipes' pre-election prediction: Erdogan is and will probably stay in charge, no matter what the election results are.


Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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Reader comments (18) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
Erdogan is a terrorist [44 words]Michael SOct 10, 2015 15:40225553
1Turkey is Tubal-cain [88 words]JackJul 5, 2015 02:52224062
Turkey - cruising for a bruising [92 words]Peter C.Jun 30, 2015 12:40224009
as usual, outsider analysis' are again exaggerated and came out to be false and narrow perspectived [216 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
servet cevikJun 12, 2015 07:00223775
Now that Erdo's been taken down a peg, will you change your analysis? [17 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Solomon2Jun 9, 2015 08:47223745
Alliances shifting: Saudis getting cozy with Turkey [336 words]Michael SJun 9, 2015 04:47223743
Thank goodness your prognosis of the Turkish elections yesterday was wrong! [88 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
BobJun 8, 2015 15:29223734
Turkey on the brink of political implosion [356 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Mehmet S. TurkelJun 6, 2015 08:36223709
withering Secularism [142 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Dr.AwwadJun 5, 2015 12:38223692
Erdogan: on a collision course with Israel [450 words]Michael S.Jun 6, 2015 10:58223692
reply to Michael S [163 words]Dr.awwadJun 10, 2015 02:40223692
Erdogan is secure from a military coup. Expect attention in the region to shift to Egypt [411 words]Michael SJun 12, 2015 15:33223692
Turkey is seeing red [427 words]Michael S.Jun 23, 2015 13:19223692
1Turkey : A dictatorship [63 words]BilalerdoganJun 5, 2015 02:36223688
Erdo, the Turkish Putin! [15 words]steven LJun 4, 2015 23:59223686
Obama: Lunatic and Buffoon; Erdogan: Just a Lunatic [353 words]Michael SJun 4, 2015 22:05223685
dictators end [10 words]havasJun 8, 2015 05:25223685
1Erdogan is, and likely will continue to be, absolutely in control -- even after the election [222 words]Michael SJun 12, 2015 14:00223685

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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