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Reader comment on item: Thoughts on the P5+1 Negotiations with Tehran

Submitted by Comment from Israel (Israel), Nov 27, 2014 at 02:26

The Iranian leadership does not have to be apocalyptically-minded to do everything to acquire the Bomb, they can be rational. If they do not have the Bomb, they will face extinction from one or more of: losing the kinetic war with the Sunni, being impoverished, fading away as their population ages and being destroyed by the West (a la the Shah, Saddam or Gadaffi). If they have the Bomb, they will control the Middle East, they will defeat the Sunni, they will be rich, and they will be valuable allies to the Chinese. The future existence of the Iranian people depends on having the Bomb.

The reason Israel never attacked Iran (even when it was theoretically feasible) was that Israel cannot survive the political firestrorm that follows. Israel would be accused by Obama, Europe, and the Muslim world for being an aggressor; severe economic sanctions would be imposed that Israel could not survive. Israel would be alone under attack from Lebanon, Gaza, Sinai, Jordan, Golan and possible Judea and Samaria, while suffering an energy / arms / food boycott and likely blockade (at least closure of airport, Suez Canal, Tiran straits). The last hope for Israel was the Green Revolution, that Obama extinguished. Since then, Netanyahu has tried to maintain relations with the US hoping to survive the Obama years while rejecting a more rational (in the short range) alliance with Russia and Iran.

Submitting....

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Reader comments (27) on this item

Title Commenter Date Thread
Where Is the Fatwa [53 words]Michael J. CaseyMar 26, 2015 12:50222497
Other ways to thwart Iran [40 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
Peter ChewDec 16, 2014 12:57219804
Size, in this case,doesn't mean anything. [55 words]josef zuaresNov 30, 2014 05:35219562
1A total failure. [96 words]NuritGNov 30, 2014 01:32219560
1A Joint Saudi-Israeli Strike? [59 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
AlexNov 29, 2014 01:45219549
2Obama has the virtue of consistency [119 words]Doug MayfieldNov 28, 2014 17:45219542
Iran Will Eventualy Think Getting American Indulgences Was Not All That Virtuous After All [178 words]M. ToveyDec 8, 2014 10:45219542
Iran, Israel, Turkey and the Samson (nuclear) option [855 words]Michael SJan 3, 2015 15:34219542
Wait for It- Do Not be Russian to the Conclusion [222 words]M. ToveyJan 6, 2015 19:04219542
Turkey, etc. first, then America et al [862 words]Michael SJan 7, 2015 05:24219542
1Saudis really don't have the means? [24 words]
w/response from Daniel Pipes
MarkNov 27, 2014 09:00219511
Saudi really don't have the means ?? [52 words]Carlos de SouzaNov 30, 2014 06:54219511
Not many countries could take on Iran [236 words]Michael SJan 19, 2015 04:52219511
Who could take on Iran ?? [57 words]Carlos de SouzaJan 19, 2015 20:28219511
Israel's secret weapon [205 words]Michael SJan 22, 2015 08:08219511
1God is on Israel's side !!! [60 words]Carlos de SouzaJan 22, 2015 22:32219511
The Turkish-Iranian invasion of Israel will be bloody [869 words]Michael SJan 28, 2015 05:11219511
1Israel and the Iranian bomb !! [90 words]Carlos de SouzaNov 27, 2014 04:14219510
Thank you for your service [37 words]Jay AbouafNov 27, 2014 03:11219508
two points [234 words]Comment from IsraelNov 27, 2014 02:26219506
Hopefully, Netanyahu Learned Not to Tell Obeyme [21 words]FactsRuleNov 27, 2014 01:56219505
3Iran will get the Nukes [54 words]Michael Hanni MorcosNov 27, 2014 01:18219504
1sanctions irrelevant? [121 words]David BlochNov 27, 2014 01:14219503
The Problem with Focusing on Iran [5 words]LindaKNov 26, 2014 22:38219498
2Senator Graham To The Rescue, I Hope [94 words]DaveNov 26, 2014 22:31219497
He is forcing us to destroy Iran. [7 words]Robin RosenblattNov 26, 2014 22:07219496
1Qom, but Qom prepared [106 words]MAHAMUNINov 26, 2014 21:59219494

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Note: Opinions expressed in comments are those of the authors alone and not necessarily those of Daniel Pipes. Original writing only, please. Comments are screened and in some cases edited before posting. Reasoned disagreement is welcome but not comments that are scurrilous, off-topic, commercial, disparaging religions, or otherwise inappropriate. For complete regulations, see the "Guidelines for Reader Comments".

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