Reader comment on item: After an Israeli Strike on Iran
Submitted by myth (Germany), Jun 26, 2012 at 07:32
I recall Ahmadinejad's presentation of the Iranian narrative during a recent interview with German tv. It stands on three legs:
- Thousands of years of Persian civilization promotes Iran to a level equal to Western UN security council members.
- As a consequence of equal treatment Iran reserves the right to acquire nuclear arms. On the other hand Iran does not pursue a nuclear arms program at present time.
- Public opinion in Western countries tolerates the Iranian nuclear program. Public opinion in the West is critical of Israel while Western governments are not.
I believe Iran wants to stick with that narrative in the event of an Israeli strike.
- demands a moderate Iranian response that would motivate Western major powers to enter talks as equals.
- the nature of an Iranian retaliation reflects on the admitted intent of the Iranian nuclear program. A harsh retaliation would prove the military intent. Iran would react in a restricted way appropriate to a nuclear program advertised as civilian. I agree with the article that in the same way a moderate response is necessary to continue business relations with the suppliers of nuclear technology. This follows from their goal to be one step short of having nuclear weapons.
- An Israeli attack serves the Iranian narrative to have Western public opinion go pro-Iran and contra-Israel. Iran would retaliate well-aimed , but small, in order to provoke a disproportionate reaction of the West. Iran would further gain public opinion support in the West.
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